JeffHCross Project #1: How is OVR determined?

[Rudy]

I uploaded all of the formulas by position to google docs: https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...mc&hl=en#gid=0

These are based on a pocket scout recruit export file. I get most positions accurate to 97 or 98%. By this I mean I predict the exact overall rating for 97 to 98% of the players. The other 2-3% that are off are only off by one point on the overall so this is highly reliable imo. The dev team might 3 or even 4 decimal places in their formulas. The rounding might also be slightly different or done in each stage to account for the very small discrepancy. Most positions start out with a fairly large negative to start. It's around -55 to -75. They probably use this to adjust the ratings so the average player comes in where they want. From there you just add so many points based on the ratings each position uses.

Some interesting things. I believe Russ Kiniry said awareness is barely used any more in the calculations on the field other than QB. They tend to use the newer ratings for some positions but AWR is still present in every position's overall rating. It's obviously biggest for the QB position. Weight is NEVER used at all.

QB - accuracy and the throwing power are the biggest. Awareness is next and everything else much less. If someone has a 90 accuracy vs. 70 accuracy it will result in a 12 point OVR difference.
HB - break tackle and speed are both equally important. The next level is carry and acceleration. Blocking is ignored in the ratings.
FB - run blocking footwork and strength are easily the two biggest variables
WR - Catch and speed are #1. Then acceleration and then route running and agility.
TE - No position uses more variables to come up with an overall rating - 26 in total! None of the categories dominate but run blocking, speed and catching are at the top. Route running is next. Interesting to note that catch in traffic adjust the TE rating more than the WR rating.
OL - all are slightly different with run and pass blocking categories dominating the top tier. Both guards and centers give greater weight to run blocking while tackles are equally weighted between pass and run blocking.

DL - DTs are done a bit different than DE. Zone coverage matters for DE but not for the DT. The DT has three main categories - strength, block shedding and tackle. While both have a heavy emphasis on tackling, DE downplays block shedding and strength and focuses a bit more on speed and acceleration.
LB - MLB and OLB are similar although there is more emphasis on tackling for the MLB and more emphasis on speed for the OLB. Block shedding and strength are also important. No other position uses PRC more than MLB (I don't know what PRC is).
CB - CB is different than safety. Speed is very important and #1. Man and zone coverage are also important with acceleration being #4.
S - Tackling is #1 for both but more important for SS. Speed and zone coverage are also important. Man coverage is more important for the FS while HPW (?) and block shedding is more important for the SS.

P and K - both very similar with kick power and accuracy making up the entire rating almost. Awareness is the only other category that counts and it's minimal. K values accuracy a little more than power. P values power over accuracy by a touch.