There's a scenario 100% like this going on right now. Android vs Apple. On the Android ecosystem, pirating is a massive problem while on the Apple system, pirating isn't nearly as much of a problem because it's a closed system. Look at where all the really good exclusive apps go. Apple.
I don't think it would be any different. I don't think you would get to the point where large publishers would side with one or another, but I do believe that it would benefit the company who chooses to block used games more so than the one allowing it.
For the record, I don't think we're going to see this scenario. I think they're both going to block used games.
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