Haven't had a chance to read it all (actually busy at work for once) but REALLY interesting stuff from what I've read so far.
From this section:
Personally, I would think the boost numbers would be able to take into account the prestige level of the two conferences, the teams themselves, and even the rankings of the two teams and apply bonuses/penalties accordingly. Considering current prestige levels and rankings, Ohio State losing to Kent State would be HUGE recognition for both Kent State and the coach whereas it would be pretty detrimental to Ohio State's recognition.
At the same time though, one has to considering things like Michigan losing to Appalachian State a few years back. How much did losing that one game actually hurt that program, in the long run of things? Not as much as you would probably think. In the end, it would need to be something fairly small (1-5% I would think) penalty wise, but pretty big for the bonuses for the small teams beating big teams (maybe even has high as 8-10%), but, if that small team continued to have success like that one time, the percentage would slowly creep back to normal ranges (1-5%) as it would become common place for that team to pull off an "upset" win (think like Boise State where it went from being upset wins to expecting them to play well against quality opponents).
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